Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.933429 2.216545 2.529181 2.900433 3.329827 3.811511 4.393749
2025-06-01 1.508581 1.889606 2.351170 2.953355 3.721112 4.671009 5.941243
2025-06-08 1.284507 1.708029 2.254297 3.014393 4.050877 5.423752 7.394787
2025-06-15 1.112023 1.551548 2.147919 3.022339 4.282153 6.047238 8.735303
2025-06-22 0.961181 1.396867 2.014024 2.960318 4.389649 6.491745 9.861413
2025-06-29 0.849605 1.280182 1.913899 2.925232 4.519015 6.967818 11.080192
2025-07-06 0.752639 1.171454 1.809433 2.865000 4.593730 7.357839 12.201656
2025-07-13 0.719537 1.155832 1.843102 3.021138 5.024785 8.356947 14.448138
2025-07-20 0.659972 1.090388 1.789013 3.025077 5.200190 8.948325 16.067718
2025-07-27 0.624940 1.060898 1.789294 3.118261 5.535592 9.848170 18.353683
2025-08-03 0.578871 1.007378 1.742563 3.122371 5.710031 10.477150 20.213730
2025-08-10 0.534282 0.951645 1.685750 3.100681 5.831865 11.018810 21.971126
2025-08-17 0.478381 0.874468 1.590800 3.013305 5.849686 11.424643 23.648569
2025-08-24 0.446181 0.838327 1.568775 3.066163 6.157232 12.460775 26.855341
2025-08-31 0.419097 0.808304 1.553972 3.129778 6.492917 13.599222 30.478244
2025-09-07 0.388817 0.768376 1.514894 3.138040 6.712240 14.521406 33.773466
2025-09-14 0.354490 0.716405 1.445645 3.073507 6.763573 15.080817 36.311465
2025-09-21 0.326708 0.674751 1.392707 3.037001 6.871440 15.781843 39.318863
2025-09-28 0.299571 0.631502 1.331578 2.974333 6.909678 16.324276 42.021020
2025-10-05 0.293740 0.633350 1.367386 3.136792 7.504201 18.296464 48.853061
2025-10-12 0.275836 0.606665 1.337314 3.140890 7.712093 19.337748 53.347659
2025-10-19 0.266175 0.597463 1.345525 3.237856 8.167090 21.082958 60.174775
2025-10-26 0.250901 0.573740 1.317641 3.242132 8.382773 22.227971 65.471877